Roma vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ROM
2 - 1
GEN
72%
17%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
NAP
2 - 0
ROM
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
ROM
2 - 1
CLU
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
ROM
1 - 0
INT
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 1
ROM
15%
22%
63%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
YVE
0 - 2
BAS
8%
16%
76%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 1
SIO
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 2
BYM
30%
24%
47%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
ZUR
1 - 4
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 2
GCZ
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |