Roma U19 vs Nocerina U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.8%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
REG
1 - 3
ROM
10%
17%
74%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 1
ROM
13%
19%
69%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ROM
3 - 2
CAT
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
ROM
10%
15%
75%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ASG
0 - 9
ROM
8%
15%
77%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Nocerina U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NOC
1 - 1
ASC
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
NOC
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NOC
4 - 3
CRO
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NOC
1 - 3
NAP
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CAT
4 - 2
NOC
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |