Roma U18 vs Lecce U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
8º
1º
42
1º
7º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 3
ASR
15%
18%
67%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
ASR
1 - 2
BOL
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAS
1 - 2
ASR
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ASR
3 - 0
LAZ
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GEN
3 - 3
ASR
22%
20%
58%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 1
EMP
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 2
LEC
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 1
BOL
32%
21%
47%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAS
3 - 0
LEC
30%
22%
47%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LAZ
1 - 2
LEC
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |