Roma U18 vs Fiorentina U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
8º
1º
42
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CES
1 - 1
ASR
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ASR
5 - 0
SAM
83%
12%
6%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
EMP
1 - 0
ASR
23%
20%
56%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
ASR
2 - 1
LEC
59%
20%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 3
ASR
15%
18%
68%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FIO
0 - 1
EMP
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 0
FIO
49%
22%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
NAP
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 0
FIO
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 2
SAS
63%
19%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |