U17 National Championship Italy Group C Round 3

Roma U17 vs Lecce U17 analysis

Roma U17 Lecce U17
53 ELO 20
26.4% Tilt 22.1%
3839º General ELO ranking 10849º
128º Country ELO ranking 397º
ELO win probability
92.5%
Roma U17
5.7%
Draw
1.8%
Lecce U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.4%
Win probability
Roma U17
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.8%
5-0
9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.7%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.7%
1.8%
Win probability
Lecce U17
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roma U17
-4%
+28%
Lecce U17

Points and table prediction

Roma U17
Their league position
Lecce U17
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
30
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Roma U17
55
55
100%
Empoli U17
52
52
100%
Napoli U17
48
48
100%
Fiorentina U17
44
44
100%
Lazio U17
43
43
100%
SSC Bari U17
33
33
100%
Palermo U17
33
33
23.5%
Lecce U17
30
33
23.5%
Salernitana U17
27
27
100%
Frosinone U17
10º
25
25
10º
100%
Catanzaro U17
11º
19
19
11º
100%
Nuova Cosenza U17
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Juve Stabia U17
13º
7
7
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
Roma U17
Lecce U17
100% 100%

ELO progression

Roma U17
Lecce U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roma U17
Roma U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2024
ROM
Roma U17
8 - 2
Juve Stabia U17
STB
84%
11%
6%
53 16 37 0
28 Apr. 2024
ROM
Roma U17
4 - 0
Fiorentina U17
FIO
60%
20%
20%
52 49 3 +1
21 Apr. 2024
LAZ
Lazio U17
0 - 1
Roma U17
ROM
10%
16%
74%
51 33 18 +1
15 Apr. 2024
ROM
Roma U17
4 - 0
Salernitana U17
SAL
91%
7%
2%
51 21 30 0
10 Apr. 2024
ROM
Roma U17
0 - 0
Frosinone U17
FRO
89%
8%
3%
51 26 25 0

Matches

Lecce U17
Lecce U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2024
LCC
Lecce U17
0 - 4
Empoli U17
EMP
11%
19%
70%
21 44 23 0
28 Apr. 2024
LCC
Lecce U17
2 - 2
Salernitana U17
SAL
44%
24%
33%
21 22 1 0
21 Apr. 2024
TER
Ternana Calcio U17
5 - 2
Lecce U17
LCC
28%
22%
50%
22 18 4 -1
14 Apr. 2024
LCC
Lecce U17
0 - 2
Frosinone U17
FRO
32%
23%
45%
23 26 3 -1
07 Apr. 2024
PAL
Palermo U17
1 - 1
Lecce U17
LCC
45%
24%
31%
23 24 1 0