Rolim de Moura vs Espigão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rolim de Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
GEN
4 - 2
ROL
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ROL
0 - 1
ARI
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ROL
2 - 2
VIL
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
MOT
2 - 0
ROL
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 1
ROL
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Espigão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
ARI
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
MOT
1 - 2
ESP
26%
23%
50%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 3
ESP
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
VIL
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 1
ROL
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |