Eredivisie Round 4

Roda JC vs Willem II analysis

Roda JC Willem II
71 ELO 63
11.8% Tilt 20.2%
953º General ELO ranking 374º
27º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
64.1%
Roda JC
20.7%
Draw
15.2%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
Roda JC
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.1%
Win probability
Willem II
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roda JC
-7%
-21%
Willem II

ELO progression

Roda JC
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2012
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
1 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
51%
24%
26%
72 74 2 0
18 Aug. 2012
PSV
PSV
5 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
79%
14%
8%
72 88 16 0
11 Aug. 2012
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
48%
25%
27%
72 74 2 0
04 Aug. 2012
RJC
Roda JC
0 - 0
B. Leverkusen II
BAY
87%
10%
4%
73 39 34 -1
31 Jul. 2012
HEL
Helmond Sport
0 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
43%
23%
34%
73 70 3 0

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2012
WIL
Willem II
0 - 2
Vitesse
VIT
34%
25%
41%
65 75 10 0
19 Aug. 2012
GRO
Groningen
1 - 1
Willem II
WIL
61%
22%
17%
65 71 6 0
10 Aug. 2012
WIL
Willem II
1 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
41%
25%
34%
65 72 7 0
27 Jul. 2012
OMO
Omonia Nicosia
2 - 0
Willem II
WIL
69%
19%
12%
65 80 15 0
10 May. 2012
WIL
Willem II
2 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
45%
22%
33%
65 69 4 0