KNVB Beker 1/16

Roda JC vs De Graafschap analysis

Roda JC De Graafschap
79 ELO 74
0.8% Tilt 0.2%
773º General ELO ranking 636º
26º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
53.8%
Roda JC
23.1%
Draw
23.1%
De Graafschap

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
Roda JC
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.1%
Win probability
De Graafschap
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Roda JC
De Graafschap
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2007
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 0
De Graafschap
GRA
51%
24%
25%
78 75 3 0
21 Oct. 2007
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
55%
24%
21%
78 74 4 0
07 Oct. 2007
TWE
Twente
0 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
57%
23%
20%
78 81 3 0
29 Sep. 2007
RJC
Roda JC
3 - 3
Excelsior
EXC
67%
21%
13%
78 63 15 0
25 Sep. 2007
SPA
Spakenburg
0 - 2
Roda JC
RJC
16%
20%
63%
78 48 30 0

Matches

De Graafschap
De Graafschap
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2007
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 0
De Graafschap
GRA
51%
24%
25%
75 78 3 0
19 Oct. 2007
GRA
De Graafschap
4 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
63%
20%
17%
74 67 7 +1
06 Oct. 2007
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 0
De Graafschap
GRA
45%
25%
30%
75 73 2 -1
30 Sep. 2007
GRA
De Graafschap
0 - 0
Twente
TWE
45%
25%
30%
75 80 5 0
27 Sep. 2007
ELI
Elinkwijk
1 - 5
De Graafschap
GRA
16%
20%
64%
74 51 23 +1