Eerste Divisie round 20

Roda JC vs TOP Oss analysis

Roda JC TOP Oss
65 ELO 55
16.6% Tilt 15.3%
783º General ELO ranking 2711º
26º Country ELO ranking 57º
ELO win probability
71.6%
Roda JC
17.7%
Draw
10.8%
TOP Oss

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
Roda JC
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.8%
Win probability
TOP Oss
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roda JC
-19%
+3%
TOP Oss

Points and table prediction

Roda JC
Their league position
TOP Oss
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
16º
15º
37
19º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Heracles
85
85
0%
PEC Zwolle
85
85
0%
Almere City
70
70
100%
Willem II
68
68
100%
MVV Maastricht
59
59
100%
NAC Breda
59
59
100%
VVV Venlo
58
58
0%
FC Eindhoven
58
58
0%
SC Telstar
53
53
100%
De Graafschap
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Jong AZ
11º
51
51
11º
0%
ADO Den Haag
12º
51
51
12º
0%
Jong Ajax
13º
46
46
13º
100%
Jong PSV
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Roda JC
15º
43
43
15º
0%
Helmond Sport
16º
43
43
16º
0%
TOP Oss
17º
37
37
17º
100%
Dordrecht
18º
35
35
18º
100%
Den Bosch
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
20º
28
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Roda JC
TOP Oss
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Roda JC
TOP Oss
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2023
WIL
Willem II
1 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
40%
26%
34%
65 67 2 0
11 Dec. 2022
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 3
Heracles
HER
32%
26%
42%
66 73 7 -1
16 Nov. 2022
ADO
ADO Den Haag
0 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
39%
25%
35%
65 65 0 +1
12 Nov. 2022
RJC
Roda JC
0 - 1
Helmond Sport
HEL
80%
14%
7%
66 49 17 -1
07 Nov. 2022
ALK
Jong AZ
2 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
27%
24%
49%
66 58 8 0

Matches

TOP Oss
TOP Oss
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2023
FCO
TOP Oss
2 - 1
SC Telstar
TEL
37%
26%
37%
53 57 4 0
16 Dec. 2022
ADO
ADO Den Haag
0 - 0
TOP Oss
FCO
68%
20%
13%
53 63 10 0
11 Dec. 2022
FCO
TOP Oss
0 - 1
Dordrecht
FCD
44%
25%
32%
54 53 1 -1
19 Nov. 2022
HER
Heracles
3 - 0
TOP Oss
FCO
77%
16%
7%
54 73 19 0
04 Nov. 2022
FCO
TOP Oss
0 - 5
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
18%
25%
58%
55 69 14 -1