Roda JC vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 3
RJC
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
KOL
1 - 1
RJC
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
RJC
2 - 4
RKC
40%
23%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
LOM
1 - 1
RJC
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 2
RJC
14%
19%
68%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 1
FCO
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
SPA
29%
23%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 0
EXC
59%
21%
21%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
HEI
0 - 6
EXC
6%
12%
82%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 1
SIN
86%
10%
4%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |