Roda JC vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 0
RJC
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
RJC
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
RJC
0 - 0
AJA
23%
25%
51%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
RJC
0 - 1
PSV
21%
24%
56%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
RJC
3 - 0
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
AZA
4 - 3
ADO
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
TWE
2 - 2
AZA
74%
17%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
AZA
2 - 0
EIN
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 1
AZA
36%
30%
34%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
AZA
2 - 0
SPA
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |