USL Championship . Jor. 20

Rochester New York vs Wilmington Hammerheads analysis

Rochester New York Wilmington Hammerheads
55 ELO 45
-19.3% Tilt -18.7%
23599º General ELO ranking 23596º
266º Country ELO ranking 263º
ELO win probability
55.5%
Rochester New York
24.9%
Draw
19.6%
Wilmington Hammerheads

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
Rochester New York
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.6%
Win probability
Wilmington Hammerheads
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Rochester New York
Wilmington Hammerheads
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rochester New York
Rochester New York
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2016
ROC
Rochester New York
0 - 1
Richmond Kickers
RIC
45%
27%
28%
55 53 2 0
30 Jul. 2016
PNN
Penn FC
1 - 1
Rochester New York
ROC
37%
27%
36%
55 44 11 0
24 Jul. 2016
PHU
Philadelphia Union II
1 - 1
Rochester New York
ROC
37%
28%
36%
55 48 7 0
21 Jul. 2016
TOR
Toronto II
1 - 1
Rochester New York
ROC
27%
27%
45%
56 42 14 -1
17 Jul. 2016
ROC
Rochester New York
3 - 1
FC Montreal
MON
66%
22%
12%
56 38 18 0

Matches

Wilmington Hammerheads
Wilmington Hammerheads
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2016
WIL
Wilmington Hammerheads
1 - 4
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
PIT
57%
23%
21%
47 42 5 0
25 Jul. 2016
ORL
Orlando City II
2 - 2
Wilmington Hammerheads
WIL
61%
21%
18%
47 52 5 0
18 Jul. 2016
WIL
Wilmington Hammerheads
1 - 4
Louisville City
LOU
28%
25%
47%
48 57 9 -1
14 Jul. 2016
PHU
Philadelphia Union II
3 - 0
Wilmington Hammerheads
WIL
42%
25%
33%
49 48 1 -1
10 Jul. 2016
CHA
Charlotte Independence
1 - 2
Wilmington Hammerheads
WIL
60%
22%
19%
48 53 5 +1
X