Australia Second Division Queensland Round 18

Rochedale Rovers vs Olympic FC analysis

Rochedale Rovers Olympic FC
28 ELO 35
4.5% Tilt 1.1%
24415º General ELO ranking 5778º
168º Country ELO ranking 53º
ELO win probability
34.5%
Rochedale Rovers
21.6%
Draw
44%
Olympic FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
Rochedale Rovers
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
44%
Win probability
Olympic FC
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rochedale Rovers
+17%
+27%
Olympic FC

Points and table prediction

Rochedale Rovers
Their league position
Olympic FC
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
11º
26
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gold Coast Knights
58
58
100%
Moreton City Excelsior
48
51
100%
Peninsula Power
47
47
100%
Queensland Lions FC
42
42
100%
Wynnum Wolves
35
35
100%
Olympic FC
26
26
87%
Brisbane Roar II
24
24
70.5%
Gold Coast United
23
23
70.5%
SC Wanderers
22
22
100%
Brisbane City
10º
20
20
10º
100%
Rochedale Rovers
11º
16
16
11º
100%
Redlands United
12º
9
9
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rochedale Rovers
Olympic FC
Next round
0% 87%
Mid-table
100% 13%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Rochedale Rovers
Olympic FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rochedale Rovers
Rochedale Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jun. 2024
PEN
Peninsula Power
2 - 1
Rochedale Rovers
ROC
79%
14%
8%
29 44 15 0
15 Jun. 2024
ROC
Rochedale Rovers
1 - 2
Gold Coast Knights
GCK
9%
17%
75%
29 53 24 0
07 Jun. 2024
WYN
Wynnum Wolves
2 - 1
Rochedale Rovers
ROC
22%
19%
59%
30 19 11 -1
01 Jun. 2024
ROC
Rochedale Rovers
0 - 4
Queensland Lions FC
QUE
12%
18%
70%
31 48 17 -1
24 May. 2024
RED
Redlands United
0 - 1
Rochedale Rovers
ROC
32%
22%
46%
30 25 5 +1

Matches

Olympic FC
Olympic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jul. 2024
OLY
Olympic FC
0 - 3
Peninsula Power
PEN
20%
22%
58%
35 45 10 0
30 Jun. 2024
OLY
Olympic FC
3 - 1
Wynnum Wolves
WYN
74%
15%
11%
35 21 14 0
21 Jun. 2024
GCK
Gold Coast Knights
3 - 1
Olympic FC
OLY
76%
15%
9%
35 53 18 0
08 Jun. 2024
QUE
Queensland Lions FC
3 - 2
Olympic FC
OLY
78%
14%
9%
35 48 13 0
02 Jun. 2024
OLY
Olympic FC
3 - 0
Redlands United
RED
69%
17%
13%
34 24 10 +1