National 3 Pays de la Loire Round 4

La Roche Vendée vs Challans analysis

La Roche Vendée Challans
37 ELO 34
-11% Tilt -10.3%
2919º General ELO ranking 5939º
71º Country ELO ranking 156º
ELO win probability
55.9%
La Roche Vendée
22.5%
Draw
21.6%
Challans

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
La Roche Vendée
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.6%
Win probability
Challans
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
La Roche Vendée
+49%
-9%
Challans

Points and table prediction

La Roche Vendée
Their league position
Challans
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
44
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
La Roche Vendée
48
51
100%
USSA Vertou
46
49
91.5%
Challans
44
47
91.5%
Sablé
42
42
100%
Stade Lavallois II
38
41
100%
Saint-Nazaire AF
37
40
57.5%
36
39
56.5%
Fontenay
37
37
70.5%
Le Mans II
30
30
79.5%
ESOFV La Roche
10º
28
28
10º
0%
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
11º
28
28
11º
13%
Beaucouzé
12º
27
27
12º
62.5%
Pouzauges-Réaumur
13º
19
22
13º
75.5%
Change
14º
16
16
14º
75.5%
Expected probabilities
La Roche Vendée
Challans
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

La Roche Vendée
Challans
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

La Roche Vendée
La Roche Vendée
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2022
LRO
La Roche Vendée
1 - 3
Pouzauges-Réaumur
ACP
65%
19%
17%
37 29 8 0
03 Sep. 2022
SAB
Sablé
1 - 0
La Roche Vendée
LRO
31%
24%
45%
39 30 9 -2
27 Aug. 2022
LRO
La Roche Vendée
1 - 2
ESOFV La Roche
ESO
40%
25%
34%
40 41 1 -1
07 Mar. 2020
LRO
La Roche Vendée
2 - 0
Stade Lavallois II
LAV
62%
20%
18%
39 32 7 +1
29 Feb. 2020
SAB
Sablé
0 - 3
La Roche Vendée
LRO
48%
23%
29%
38 37 1 +1

Matches

Challans
Challans
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2022
CHA
Challans
3 - 1
Saint-Nazaire AF
SNA
48%
23%
29%
32 30 2 0
03 Sep. 2022
SCB
Beaucouzé
2 - 1
Challans
CHA
31%
23%
46%
33 25 8 -1
27 Aug. 2022
FON
Fontenay
0 - 0
Challans
CHA
49%
24%
27%
33 33 0 0
28 May. 2022
CHA
Challans
1 - 1
ESOFV La Roche
ESO
23%
21%
56%
33 41 8 0
14 May. 2022
ASS
Sautron
1 - 4
Challans
CHA
13%
19%
69%
33 17 16 0