League One Round 43

Rochdale vs Gillingham analysis

Rochdale Gillingham
63 ELO 63
10.8% Tilt 0.4%
3217º General ELO ranking 3502º
84º Country ELO ranking 91º
ELO win probability
47.1%
Rochdale
24.9%
Draw
28%
Gillingham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
Rochdale
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28%
Win probability
Gillingham
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rochdale
+13%
+40%
Gillingham

ELO progression

Rochdale
Gillingham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rochdale
Rochdale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2016
ROC
Rochdale
3 - 0
Blackpool
BPO
64%
21%
15%
63 55 8 0
09 Apr. 2016
POS
Peterborough United
1 - 2
Rochdale
ROC
52%
24%
24%
62 63 1 +1
02 Apr. 2016
ROC
Rochdale
2 - 2
Doncaster Rovers
DON
66%
20%
14%
62 54 8 0
28 Mar. 2016
WIG
Wigan Athletic
1 - 0
Rochdale
ROC
54%
25%
22%
63 70 7 -1
25 Mar. 2016
ROC
Rochdale
4 - 1
Southend United
SOU
47%
25%
28%
62 62 0 +1

Matches

Gillingham
Gillingham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2016
GIL
Gillingham
0 - 2
Port Vale
POR
57%
23%
19%
64 59 5 0
12 Apr. 2016
GIL
Gillingham
1 - 2
Walsall
WAL
52%
25%
23%
65 63 2 -1
09 Apr. 2016
SHE
Sheffield United
0 - 0
Gillingham
GIL
45%
25%
30%
65 63 2 0
02 Apr. 2016
GIL
Gillingham
0 - 0
Coventry City
COV
62%
22%
16%
65 59 6 0
28 Mar. 2016
BCF
Bury
0 - 1
Gillingham
GIL
34%
26%
40%
65 60 5 0