Rochdale vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
ROC
1 - 4
LEY
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
HUL
2 - 2
ROC
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
DAR
4 - 1
ROC
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
ROC
0 - 1
ROT
34%
28%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
ROC
1 - 1
LIN
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2000 |
POS
0 - 2
CUM
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
CUM
3 - 1
BAR
32%
29%
40%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
YOR
1 - 1
CUM
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
LIN
5 - 0
CUM
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
CUM
1 - 1
STF
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |