League Two Round 27

Rochdale vs AFC Wimbledon analysis

Rochdale AFC Wimbledon
53 ELO 50
9.4% Tilt 11.1%
3220º General ELO ranking 2165º
84º Country ELO ranking 60º
ELO win probability
59%
Rochdale
21.6%
Draw
19.4%
AFC Wimbledon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
Rochdale
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.4%
Win probability
AFC Wimbledon
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rochdale
+9%
+1%
AFC Wimbledon

ELO progression

Rochdale
AFC Wimbledon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rochdale
Rochdale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2013
ROC
Rochdale
1 - 2
Rotherham United
ROT
36%
26%
39%
55 60 5 0
29 Dec. 2012
BRA
Bradford City
2 - 4
Rochdale
ROC
61%
22%
16%
53 61 8 +2
26 Dec. 2012
BUR
Burton Albion
3 - 2
Rochdale
ROC
51%
24%
25%
54 54 0 -1
21 Dec. 2012
ROC
Rochdale
4 - 1
Cheltenham Town
CHE
35%
25%
40%
52 59 7 +2
15 Dec. 2012
ALD
Aldershot Town
4 - 2
Rochdale
ROC
40%
27%
33%
53 53 0 -1

Matches

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2013
GUL
Torquay United
2 - 3
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
61%
22%
17%
49 58 9 0
29 Dec. 2012
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 3
Oxford United
OXF
36%
26%
38%
49 57 8 0
15 Dec. 2012
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Rotherham United
ROT
32%
25%
43%
50 59 9 -1
08 Dec. 2012
BAR
Barnet
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
42%
24%
34%
50 48 2 0
02 Dec. 2012
MKD
Milton Keynes Dons
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
74%
16%
10%
50 70 20 0