Rocha FC vs Oriental analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 3
ROC
8%
14%
78%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CAN
0 - 3
ROC
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
LUZ
1 - 3
ROC
21%
20%
59%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 2
UMO
30%
22%
47%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ROC
0 - 0
BAS
30%
22%
48%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ORI
0 - 2
HFC
34%
23%
43%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
ORI
14%
17%
69%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
ORI
0 - 1
HBU
45%
22%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 1
ORI
59%
21%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ORI
4 - 1
ALT
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |