Rocha FC vs Basáñez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ROC
1 - 1
LUZ
63%
21%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
SUD
2 - 3
ROC
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
ROC
2 - 0
UMO
67%
20%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CSC
2 - 2
ROC
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
ROC
2 - 0
BOS
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 0
ETS
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LUZ
3 - 1
BAS
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
DUR
3 - 1
BAS
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 1
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
PLA
0 - 2
BAS
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |