Roccella vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
REN
2 - 0
ROC
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ROC
4 - 2
SCO
74%
15%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
ROC
39%
23%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
NFR
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
USV
0 - 1
ROC
49%
26%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
REN
2 - 0
ROC
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
REN
2 - 1
USC
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
REN
2 - 2
SIR
14%
24%
62%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
REN
30%
28%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
VIG
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |