Roccella vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
62%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
ROC
58%
24%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
ACI
6 - 0
ROC
71%
19%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 2
ROT
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 2
DAT
19%
20%
61%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
BIA
2 - 1
ROC
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
GEL
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GEL
3 - 1
ASD
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
REN
1 - 2
GEL
31%
28%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 1
LUC
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SMC
0 - 1
GEL
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |