Roccella vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
63.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
ROC
60%
23%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
ACI
6 - 0
ROC
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 2
ROT
29%
25%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 2
DAT
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
BIA
2 - 1
ROC
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
GEL
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GEL
3 - 1
ASD
56%
26%
18%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
REN
1 - 2
GEL
30%
28%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 1
LUC
46%
26%
27%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SMC
0 - 1
GEL
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |