Roccella vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
32.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 2
ROC
27%
21%
52%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PPI
1 - 2
ROC
11%
17%
72%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 1
NOC
19%
24%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ISO
1 - 4
ROC
10%
17%
74%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ROC
4 - 0
EBO
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 2
CIT
43%
23%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 0
CIT
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CIT
2 - 1
CAV
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
POM
1 - 1
CIT
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CIT
1 - 1
REN
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |