Roccella vs Sancataldese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FCI
1 - 0
ROC
73%
16%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 1
PAL
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
USV
2 - 0
ROC
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ROC
0 - 0
AEE
33%
22%
45%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ACP
0 - 1
ROC
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
ACI
43%
23%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 1
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
GEL
22%
20%
57%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CCI
2 - 1
SAN
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
NOC
13%
17%
69%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +4 |