Roccella vs Akragas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AGR
4 - 2
ROC
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 0
COM
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
REA
1 - 1
ROC
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 2
NGI
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ASD
1 - 1
ROC
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AKR
4 - 0
SOR
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BAT
0 - 1
AKR
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AKR
3 - 1
NOT
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
DTO
1 - 2
AKR
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COM
1 - 5
AKR
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | +1 |