Rocafuerte vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocafuerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
LDU
1 - 0
ROC
27%
30%
43%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ROC
2 - 0
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 3
ROC
27%
29%
44%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ROC
4 - 2
AUD
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DPT
1 - 2
ROC
35%
30%
35%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
MAC
5 - 1
GRE
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AUD
2 - 3
MAC
23%
27%
50%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 2
UCE
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
MAC
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
TEC
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |