Roan United vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
ROA
43%
28%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
LUD
0 - 1
ROA
43%
28%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ROA
0 - 2
GRE
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
KON
1 - 0
ROA
44%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ROA
3 - 2
CEA
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 1
RED
54%
26%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
RED
3 - 0
POW
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ZAN
0 - 3
RED
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
KAB
0 - 1
RED
52%
27%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
RED
0 - 0
ZES
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |