RM Castilla vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LEG
1 - 3
RMC
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RMC
3 - 0
SSR
80%
14%
7%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RVB
1 - 0
RMC
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
RMC
3 - 1
CDT
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ROD
4 - 2
RMC
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CDT
1 - 0
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GET
1 - 1
CDT
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CDT
0 - 2
COX
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 0
CDT
74%
18%
8%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CDT
3 - 3
UBC
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |