RM Castilla vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 1
RMC
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RMC
0 - 0
CER
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CDT
2 - 2
RMC
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
RMC
3 - 1
SPB
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CPC
2 - 2
RMC
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ALC
0 - 0
LEG
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VEC
1 - 0
ALC
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 0
ALC
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 2
CER
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CDT
5 - 1
ALC
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |