RM Castilla vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
RMC
4 - 1
VEC
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
CAU
3 - 2
RMC
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
RMC
1 - 3
ATB
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
UNI
2 - 4
RMC
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
RMC
3 - 1
ALC
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
ALC
2 - 0
PBO
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
LEG
0 - 0
ALC
20%
25%
55%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ALC
0 - 0
PEG
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
COS
1 - 2
ALC
34%
27%
40%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
ALC
0 - 0
LRZ
43%
26%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |