RM Castilla vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
ELC
1 - 1
RMC
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
RMC
3 - 1
LUG
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 0
RMC
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
RMC
2 - 0
MUR
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NUM
3 - 3
RMC
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 3
ALM
31%
26%
42%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FCB
1 - 1
ALC
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 3
VIL
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
GIR
3 - 2
ALC
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 1
XER
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |