SITHOC vs Victory Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SIT
0 - 0
HOL
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SIT
4 - 1
UND
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
DOM
3 - 0
SIT
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SIT
2 - 5
DOM
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 4
SIT
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Victory Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
HUB
0 - 0
VIC
58%
22%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 0
VIC
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
VIC
5 - 2
SUB
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
UND
3 - 0
VIC
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
SVV
1 - 2
VIC
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |