RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
69%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
17º
18º
17º
78
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RKC
1 - 2
SPA
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 0
RKC
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RKC
0 - 3
AZA
19%
23%
58%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GAE
2 - 0
RKC
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RKC
1 - 2
GRO
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
4 - 0
BJK
56%
23%
22%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GAE
1 - 1
AJA
19%
20%
60%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
5 - 0
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 0
JAG
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 4
AJA
20%
20%
60%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |