Série D Brazil Temporada Regular. Jor. 11

Ríver vs Moto Club MA analysis

Ríver Moto Club MA
39 ELO 42
-10.5% Tilt -17.1%
4166º General ELO ranking 5213º
146º Country ELO ranking 208º
ELO win probability
33.8%
Ríver
26.9%
Draw
39.3%
Moto Club MA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
Ríver
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.3%
Win probability
Moto Club MA
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Ríver
Moto Club MA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ríver
Ríver
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2020
RIV
Ríver
1 - 2
Altos
ALT
40%
27%
34%
38 41 3 0
25 Oct. 2020
SAN
Santos AP
0 - 3
Ríver
RIV
26%
25%
49%
38 25 13 0
21 Oct. 2020
RIV
Ríver
1 - 0
São Raimundo RR
SAO
64%
20%
16%
37 31 6 +1
18 Oct. 2020
SAO
São Raimundo RR
0 - 0
Ríver
RIV
37%
25%
38%
37 31 6 0
14 Oct. 2020
RIV
Ríver
3 - 1
Santos AP
SAN
74%
17%
10%
37 25 12 0

Matches

Moto Club MA
Moto Club MA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2020
MOT
Moto Club MA
2 - 0
Juventude Caxais
JCA
64%
20%
16%
43 38 5 0
25 Oct. 2020
SAO
São Raimundo RR
0 - 2
Moto Club MA
MOT
24%
26%
50%
42 30 12 +1
22 Oct. 2020
MOT
Moto Club MA
2 - 0
Santos AP
SAN
82%
12%
6%
42 25 17 0
17 Oct. 2020
SAN
Santos AP
2 - 2
Moto Club MA
MOT
18%
22%
60%
42 24 18 0
14 Oct. 2020
MOT
Moto Club MA
1 - 1
São Raimundo RR
SAO
74%
17%
10%
43 30 13 -1
X