Argentina Reserve League Round 8

River Plate II vs Independiente II analysis

River Plate II Independiente II
38 ELO 30
-3.9% Tilt -5.9%
9199º General ELO ranking 12254º
155º Country ELO ranking 172º
ELO win probability
62.8%
River Plate II
19.7%
Draw
17.5%
Independiente II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
River Plate II
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.5%
Win probability
Independiente II
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
River Plate II
+15%
-13%
Independiente II

ELO progression

River Plate II
Independiente II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

River Plate II
River Plate II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2014
RIV
River Plate II
4 - 2
Tigre II
TIG
72%
17%
11%
37 25 12 0
31 Aug. 2014
SLO
San Lorenzo II
1 - 4
River Plate II
RIV
24%
24%
53%
37 25 12 0
27 Aug. 2014
RIV
River Plate II
1 - 0
Defensa y Justicia II
DYJ
75%
16%
10%
37 22 15 0
25 Aug. 2014
GOC
Godoy Cruz II
2 - 2
River Plate II
RIV
17%
22%
62%
37 20 17 0
17 Aug. 2014
RIV
River Plate II
3 - 0
Rosario Central II
ROC
58%
22%
21%
36 33 3 +1

Matches

Independiente II
Independiente II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2014
BAN
Banfield II
1 - 2
Independiente II
IND
31%
23%
46%
29 23 6 0
13 Sep. 2014
IND
Independiente II
4 - 1
Quilmes II
QUI
72%
17%
12%
29 21 8 0
04 Sep. 2014
OLI
Olimpo II
2 - 1
Independiente II
IND
17%
21%
63%
30 18 12 -1
31 Aug. 2014
IND
Independiente II
0 - 1
Racing Club II
RAC
59%
21%
21%
31 28 3 -1
23 Aug. 2014
IND
Independiente II
1 - 2
Vélez Sarsfield II
VEL
62%
20%
18%
33 28 5 -2