River Plate Montevideo vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 1
RIV
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
3 - 2
FEN
58%
23%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 1
RIV
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 2
UCO
35%
25%
41%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CER
1 - 1
PEÑ
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CEL
0 - 0
CER
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
CER
0 - 2
REN
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
TOR
3 - 0
CER
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
PLA
3 - 0
CER
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |