River Plate Montevideo vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ROC
2 - 1
RIV
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
RIV
1 - 0
TAC
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 0
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
RIV
0 - 1
CSC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
COL
3 - 2
RIV
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
CER
1 - 1
DAN
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MWA
2 - 0
CER
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
CER
3 - 0
ROC
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CER
60%
21%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
JUN
0 - 5
CER
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +2 |