Guayaquil City vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 1
BSC
18%
27%
55%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 0
RIV
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 2
AUC
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
RIV
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 1
DEL
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
UCE
2 - 0
AUC
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
UCE
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
UCE
3 - 1
DEL
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 1
UCE
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
UCE
2 - 0
EME
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |