Guayaquil City vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
CUE
2 - 3
RIV
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
RIV
4 - 2
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
IVT
3 - 0
RIV
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 2
DEL
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 1
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 1
FAM
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
EME
1 - 0
LIG
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
UCE
0 - 0
LIG
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 0
AUC
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MUS
2 - 2
LIG
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |