Guayaquil City vs Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
RIV
2 - 1
MUN
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
ROC
2 - 0
RIV
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 0
UTC
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
UTC
1 - 0
RIV
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
RIV
2 - 0
ROC
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
GRE
6 - 2
UTC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
TEC
5 - 0
GRE
51%
24%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
LOJ
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
LOJ
1 - 1
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
GRE
3 - 2
TEC
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |