Atlético River Plate vs Defensores de la Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AND
1 - 0
CAR
58%
20%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
AMT
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAR
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
CJI
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores de la Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAD
0 - 0
AMT
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CJI
1 - 2
CAD
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAD
1 - 1
AND
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAD
36%
22%
43%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |