Club River Plate vs Martín Ledesma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 1
RPA
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
RPA
5 - 0
CDL
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SET
1 - 3
RPA
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
RPA
1 - 0
SPO
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
OVE
1 - 1
RPA
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Martín Ledesma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
SAN
34%
29%
37%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 1
DEP
31%
28%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CDL
2 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |