Derby City Rovers vs Flint City Bucks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 3
RIV
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 3
CHI
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 2
RIV
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
KWU
3 - 2
RIV
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 0
RIV
73%
16%
10%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Flint City Bucks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
MIC
5 - 0
CHI
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 2
MIC
34%
25%
42%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
MIC
4 - 1
CHI
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 1
MIC
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MIC
3 - 1
KWU
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |