Risca United vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
57.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
RIS
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
RIS
0 - 2
CAM
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -3 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
RIS
2 - 3
ABE
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RIS
0 - 3
ABE
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 1
RIS
75%
14%
11%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
5 - 0
ABE
60%
19%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PON
0 - 2
PEN
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
GOY
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
GAR
3 - 3
PEN
33%
22%
46%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 3
TON
55%
20%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |