NCAA Division I Western Athletic Jor. 7

UT Rio Grande Valley vs San José State analysis

UT Rio Grande Valley San José State
27 ELO 32
-5.2% Tilt -2%
46073º General ELO ranking 46079º
854º Country ELO ranking 859º
ELO win probability
40.7%
UT Rio Grande Valley
22.7%
Draw
36.6%
San José State

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
UT Rio Grande Valley
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36.6%
Win probability
San José State
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
UT Rio Grande Valley
-12%
+12%
San José State

ELO progression

UT Rio Grande Valley
San José State
Utah Valley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UT Rio Grande Valley
UT Rio Grande Valley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2021
RGV
UT Rio Grande Valley
1 - 0
Houston Baptist
HBH
90%
8%
3%
28 6 22 0
10 Oct. 2021
GCU
Grand Canyon
5 - 1
UT Rio Grande Valley
RGV
59%
20%
21%
30 34 4 -2
08 Oct. 2021
AFF
Air Force
2 - 1
UT Rio Grande Valley
RGV
47%
22%
31%
31 31 0 -1
03 Oct. 2021
RGV
UT Rio Grande Valley
2 - 1
California Baptist
CBL
60%
20%
21%
31 25 6 0
25 Sep. 2021
CST
Chicago State
0 - 2
UT Rio Grande Valley
RGV
8%
15%
77%
30 11 19 +1

Matches

San José State
San José State
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2021
SJS
San José State
2 - 1
Grand Canyon
GCU
35%
22%
43%
30 35 5 0
09 Oct. 2021
CBL
California Baptist
1 - 1
San José State
SJS
39%
22%
39%
30 26 4 0
07 Oct. 2021
UVL
Utah Valley
0 - 1
San José State
SJS
29%
22%
49%
30 22 8 0
03 Oct. 2021
SJS
San José State
2 - 0
UNLV Rebels
NLV
79%
13%
8%
30 18 12 0
01 Oct. 2021
SJS
San José State
3 - 0
Dixie State
DXS
85%
10%
5%
29 14 15 +1
X