Rio Branco Acre vs Independiente PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
41.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 2
GAL
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 0
PLA
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
GAL
1 - 2
RIO
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
RIO
3 - 1
SCH
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
VAS
1 - 7
RIO
14%
17%
69%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
IND
44%
26%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
BPA
2 - 0
IND
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
REM
0 - 0
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
IND
1 - 4
PAR
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SCI
0 - 1
IND
14%
19%
67%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |