Paulista B Eliminatorias. Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Rio Branco SP vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+97%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
FRA
2 - 2
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 0
FRA
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
3 - 2
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
AAI
0 - 0
RIO
33%
23%
44%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 2
ELO
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 1
ITA
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 3
SAO
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
5 - 3
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
3 - 2
SAO
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
6 - 0
MOG
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 5 | 36 | 0 |