Paulista A3 . Final
Global 2-0
Rio Branco SP vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 0
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
BAT
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
INT
0 - 1
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
CAP
35%
25%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 1
RIO
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 0
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
JUV
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 4
GRE
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 2
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
GRE
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |