HNK Rijeka vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
4º
2º
37
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 82 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 77 |
2º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 55 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 53 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 43 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
96% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HKS
1 - 2
RIJ
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
HNG
2 - 3
RIJ
30%
26%
45%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
OPA
86%
10%
4%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
RIJ
0 - 0
BRA
80%
13%
7%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
RIJ
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
IST
5 - 1
KOL
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
IST
0 - 1
DZG
17%
23%
61%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
IST
1 - 2
RAD
46%
24%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
IST
2 - 1
SLA
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
IST
9 - 0
RNB
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |