1. HNL Round 13

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica analysis

HNK Rijeka HNK Gorica
83 ELO 75
5.9% Tilt 16.2%
156º General ELO ranking 1121º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
66.9%
HNK Rijeka
19.9%
Draw
13.2%
HNK Gorica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
HNK Rijeka
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.2%
Win probability
HNK Gorica
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
HNK Rijeka
-11%
+4%
HNK Gorica

ELO progression

HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2019
SLA
NK Slaven Belupo
1 - 2
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
17%
22%
61%
83 69 14 0
06 Oct. 2019
RIJ
HNK Rijeka
1 - 1
Lokomotiva
LOK
66%
20%
14%
83 75 8 0
01 Oct. 2019
NKB
NK Buje
0 - 11
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
4%
12%
84%
83 27 56 0
28 Sep. 2019
NKV
NK Varazdin
0 - 2
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
15%
21%
64%
83 65 18 0
22 Sep. 2019
IST
NK Istra 1961
0 - 3
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
11%
20%
69%
83 62 21 0

Matches

HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2019
HNG
HNK Gorica
2 - 4
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
19%
24%
57%
75 88 13 0
05 Oct. 2019
OSI
NK Osijek
2 - 1
HNK Gorica
HNG
50%
26%
25%
74 77 3 +1
29 Sep. 2019
INT
Inter Zapresic
0 - 2
HNK Gorica
HNG
26%
26%
48%
75 63 12 -1
25 Sep. 2019
HNG
HNK Gorica
8 - 0
NK Zagreb
ZAG
90%
9%
2%
75 22 53 0
21 Sep. 2019
SLA
NK Slaven Belupo
2 - 0
HNK Gorica
HNG
32%
27%
40%
75 69 6 0