HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
4º
2º
68
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RUD
1 - 2
RIJ
12%
20%
68%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
NKL
0 - 9
RIJ
5%
13%
83%
|
82 | 20 | 62 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
0 - 1
RIJ
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 1
OSI
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 2
NKV
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HKS
1 - 0
DZG
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HKS
1 - 0
LOK
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HNG
2 - 1
HKS
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
OGV
0 - 6
HKS
4%
12%
85%
|
84 | 18 | 66 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HKS
0 - 1
IST
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |